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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

RB Leipzig

S U U S S

3–1

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

57%

29%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

43%

100%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,4

3,9

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

22 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 5. · Werder Bremen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Hertha	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Hoffenheim	8	4	4	0	+6	16
4	FC Koln	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	3	0	+7	15
6	Dortmund	8	4	2	2	+10	14
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Freiburg	8	4	0	4	-2	12
9	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Augsburg	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-9	7
15	Wolfsburg	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Schalke 04	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Hamburg	8	0	2	6	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Hertha	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Freiburg	4	4	0	0	+5	12
4	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	M'gladbach	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Werder Bremen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Mainz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Hamburg	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Hertha	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Dortmund	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Leverkusen	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-4	1
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Hamburg	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	M'gladbach	4	0	1	3	-8	1
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-9	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	Darmstadt	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.