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Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Ipswich
T S T S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
63%
41%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
65%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
13 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 10. · Sheffield Weds 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 17 12 2 3 +16 38
2 Cardiff 18 11 4 3 +12 37
3 Sheffield United 18 12 0 6 +11 36
4 Bristol City 18 8 7 3 +9 31
5 Aston Villa 16 8 4 4 +8 28
6 Derby 16 8 4 4 +6 28
7 Nott'm Forest 18 9 0 9 -1 27
8 Leeds 17 8 2 7 +6 26
9 Middlesbrough 16 7 4 5 +7 25
10 Ipswich 16 8 1 7 +4 25
11 Preston 18 6 7 5 +1 25
12 Sheffield Weds 17 6 6 5 +2 24
13 Brentford 18 5 8 5 +2 23
14 Norwich 18 6 5 7 -6 23
15 Fulham 16 5 7 4 +1 22
16 QPR 18 5 6 7 -6 21
17 Barnsley 17 5 5 7 +0 20
18 Millwall 18 4 7 7 +0 19
19 Reading 17 5 4 8 -3 19
20 Hull 18 4 6 8 -2 18
21 Birmingham 17 4 3 10 -16 15
22 Burton Albion 18 3 5 10 -23 14
23 Bolton 18 2 7 9 -16 13
24 Sunderland 18 1 8 9 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Sheffield Weds
Half-time 0–0
F. Sears 🔁
↦ D. McGoldrick
46′
1–0 J. Garner
J. Spence
48′
Cole Skuse 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ M. Fox
62′
🔁 K. Lee
↦ R. Wallace
64′
G. Hooper 1–1
E. Huws 🔁
↦ B. Celina
67′
2–1 M. Waghorn
E. Huws
70′
77′
🟨 Kieran Lee
G. Ward 🔁
↦ M. Waghorn
78′
81′
🟨 Jack Hunt
87′
🔁 A. Nuhiu
↦ J. Rhodes
94′
A. Nuhiu 2–2
A. Reach
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-4-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
6 A. Webster D
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
16 C. Connolly M
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
10 D. McGoldrick F
9 M. Waghorn F
14 J. Garner F
11 B. Celina M
Bench (7)
20 F. Sears
44 E. Huws
18 G. Ward
1 D. Gerken
2 D. Iorfa
22 T. Nydam
28 K. Bru

Coach: M. McCarthy

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
12 G. Loovens D
2 J. Hunt D
15 T. Lees D
20 A. Reach M
6 M. Fox D
33 R. Wallace M
8 J. Butterfield M
10 B. Bannan M
7 J. Rhodes F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
9 S. Fletcher
5 K. Lee
17 A. Nuhiu
3 D. Jones
4 J. van Aken
16 L. Palmer
28 J. Wildsmith

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.