Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elfsborg
Orebro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norrkoping
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 |
Djurgarden
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |
Kalmar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 6 |
| 5 |
Malmo FF
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 6 |
Elfsborg
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |
Sirius
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 5 |
| 8 |
Goteborg
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 5 |
| 9 |
Varberg
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 |
Hammarby
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkenbergs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Orebro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Mjallby
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Hacken
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | 3 |
| 15 | Ostersunds | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |
Helsingborg
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Helsingborg
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Hammarby
Goteborg
Elfsborg
Helsingborg
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Goteborg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.