Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Barnsley
Cardiff
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +16 | 38 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | +12 | 36 |
| 3 |
Cardiff
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 34 |
| 4 |
Bristol City
|
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 7 |
Middlesbrough
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 25 |
| 8 |
Ipswich
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 25 |
| 9 |
Derby
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 25 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Weds
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Nott'm Forest
|
17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 23 |
| 13 |
Brentford
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 14 |
Preston
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +0 | 22 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 |
Barnsley
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 17 |
Fulham
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +0 | 19 |
| 18 |
Millwall
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 18 |
| 19 |
Reading
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 18 |
| 20 |
Hull
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 |
Birmingham
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burton Albion
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -23 | 13 |
| 23 |
Bolton
|
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -16 | 12 |
| 24 |
Sunderland
|
17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Norwich
Barnsley
Barnsley
Birmingham
Burton Albion
Barnsley
Sheffield Weds
Barnsley
Barnsley
Hull
David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.