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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Barnsley
T U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Cardiff
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Championship · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
31%
59%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 16. · Cardiff 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 17 12 2 3 +16 38
2 Sheffield United 17 12 0 5 +12 36
3 Cardiff 17 10 4 3 +11 34
4 Bristol City 17 8 7 2 +10 31
5 Leeds 17 8 2 7 +6 26
6 Aston Villa 15 7 4 4 +7 25
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 4 5 +7 25
8 Ipswich 16 8 1 7 +4 25
9 Derby 15 7 4 4 +4 25
10 Sheffield Weds 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Nott'm Forest 17 8 0 9 -2 24
12 Norwich 17 6 5 6 -5 23
13 Brentford 17 5 7 5 +2 22
14 Preston 17 5 7 5 +0 22
15 QPR 17 5 6 6 -4 21
16 Barnsley 16 5 5 6 +1 20
17 Fulham 15 4 7 4 +0 19
18 Millwall 17 4 6 7 +0 18
19 Reading 16 5 3 8 -3 18
20 Hull 17 4 5 8 -2 17
21 Birmingham 17 4 3 10 -16 15
22 Burton Albion 17 3 4 10 -23 13
23 Bolton 17 2 6 9 -16 12
24 Sunderland 17 1 8 8 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.