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Championship

Referee: Craig Pawson

Cardiff

T S U U S

0–0

Full-time

Bristol City

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Championship · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 20

0 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cardiff 8. · Bristol City 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	13	8	5	0	+8	29
2	Hull	13	7	4	2	+11	25
3	Burnley	13	7	4	2	+6	25
4	Middlesbrough	13	7	3	3	+11	24
5	Derby	13	6	6	1	+8	24
6	Birmingham	13	7	3	3	+6	24
7	Reading	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Cardiff	12	5	5	2	+4	20
9	Sheffield Weds	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	QPR	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Fulham	13	4	5	4	+3	17
12	Brentford	13	5	2	6	-1	17
13	Ipswich	13	4	5	4	-5	17
14	Wolves	13	4	3	6	-2	15
15	Huddersfield	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Nott'm Forest	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	Leeds	13	2	7	4	-5	13
18	Blackburn	13	2	6	5	-2	12
19	Preston	13	2	6	5	-3	12
20	Milton Keynes Dons	13	3	2	8	-7	11
21	Bristol City	12	2	4	6	-7	10
22	Charlton	13	2	4	7	-10	10
23	Rotherham	13	2	3	8	-9	9
24	Bolton	13	1	6	6	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Brighton	7	5	2	0	+5	17
3	Middlesbrough	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Burnley	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Cardiff	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	QPR	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Reading	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Sheffield Weds	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Birmingham	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Huddersfield	7	2	3	2	+3	9
12	Derby	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Blackburn	7	2	3	2	+3	9
14	Ipswich	6	2	3	1	+2	9
15	Bolton	7	1	5	1	+0	8
16	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Charlton	7	2	2	3	-4	8
18	Brentford	6	2	1	3	-3	7
19	Nott'm Forest	7	1	3	3	-2	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons	6	2	0	4	-2	6
21	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
22	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-6	5
23	Preston	6	0	4	2	-2	4
24	Leeds	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	7	4	3	0	+5	15
2	Birmingham	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Brighton	6	3	3	0	+3	12
4	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Reading	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Middlesbrough	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Brentford	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Leeds	7	2	4	1	-1	10
9	Sheffield Weds	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Hull	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Preston	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Nott'm Forest	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Ipswich	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Cardiff	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Wolves	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	QPR	6	2	1	3	-5	7
17	Fulham	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Milton Keynes Dons	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Huddersfield	6	1	2	3	-6	5
21	Rotherham	6	1	1	4	-3	4
22	Blackburn	6	0	3	3	-5	3
23	Charlton	6	0	2	4	-6	2
24	Bolton	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.