Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Huddersfield
Leicester
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | +55 | 82 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | +62 | 80 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
32 | 21 | 1 | 10 | +26 | 64 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | +26 | 63 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 63 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | +0 | 46 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Everton
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +3 | 43 |
| 11 |
West Ham
|
32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 33 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 33 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | -33 | 28 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -46 | 17 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | -41 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Stankovič
M
K. Ahearne-Grant
F
Coach: J. Siewert
C. Söyüncü
D
B. Chilwell
D
Y. Tielemans
M
W. Ndidi
M
D. Gray
M
J. Maddison
M
H. Barnes
M
J. Vardy
F
Coach: B. Rodgers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crystal Palace
Huddersfield
West Ham
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Bournemouth
Brighton
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Wolves
David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.