Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Huddersfield
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | +60 | 77 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | +52 | 76 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 20 | 1 | 9 | +25 | 61 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | +24 | 60 |
| 5 |
Man United
|
30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 58 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +17 | 57 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 44 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 |
Everton
|
31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 40 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 35 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -16 | 30 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | -30 | 28 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -43 | 17 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | -39 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
Coach: R. Hodgson
J. Bacuna
M
K. Ahearne-Grant
F
Coach: J. Siewert
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Man United
Leicester
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Lee Probert · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.