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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Man United
S S
0–0
Full-time
Newcastle
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
20 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 3. · Newcastle 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Man United 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 West Ham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Newcastle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United Newcastle
Matteo Darmian 🟨
19′
20′
🟨 Massadio Haïdara
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Gabriel Obertan
M. Carrick 🔁
↦ B. Schweinsteiger
59′
J. Hernández 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
67′
69′
🔁 F. Thauvin
↦ G. Obertan
Luke Shaw 🟨
70′
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ M. Darmian
77′
78′
🔁 C. Tioté
↦ Ayoze Pérez
88′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ A. Mitrović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Man United

20 S. Romero G
36 M. Darmian D
12 C. Smalling D
23 L. Shaw D
31 B. Schweinsteiger M
8 Mata M
28 M. Schneiderlin M
17 D. Blind D
11 A. Januzaj M
10 W. Rooney F
7 M. Depay M
Bench (7)
16 M. Carrick
14 J. Hernández
25 A. Valencia
18 A. Young
21 Ander Herrera
33 P. McNair
50 S. Johnstone

Newcastle

1 T. Krul G
2 F. Coloccini D
27 S. Taylor D
19 M. Haïdara D
18 C. Mbemba D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
8 V. Anita M
4 J. Colback M
14 G. Obertan M
45 A. Mitrović F
17 Ayoze Pérez M
Bench (7)
20 F. Thauvin
24 C. Tioté
9 P. Cissé
6 M. Williamson
10 S. de Jong
16 R. Aarons
26 K. Darlow

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.