← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: K Roucek
Dukagjini
S S T T T
1–5
Full-time
Lugano
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Dukagjini Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 Lugano – Dukagjini 1–0

Match report

Dukagjini Lugano
6′
⚽ K. Behrens 0–1
9′
⚽ D. Dos Santos 0–2
M. Zanotti
1–2 M. Maliqi ⚽
10′
36′
⚽ K. Behrens 1–3
A. Papadopoulos
Half-time 1–3
A. Bytyqi 🔁
↦ T. Bardhoku
46′
G. Elezaj 🔁
↦ A. Merlaku
46′
51′
⚽ E. Sinani 2–3
own goal
I. Zulfiu 🔁
↦ J. Stevenson
56′
58′
⚽ K. Behrens 2–4
U. Bislimi
62′
🔁 D. Kelvin
↦ L. Mai
62′
🔁 E. Pihlstrom
↦ K. Behrens
63′
🔁 D. Moncada
↦ R. Steffen
K. Thaci 🔁
↦ D. Isufi
65′
Luan 🔁
↦ E. Sinani
65′
71′
🔁 G. Ajdin
↦ U. Bislimi
75′
🔁 B. D. Castro Espinosa
↦ D. Dos Santos
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Dukagjini

4-3-3
1 E. Lekaj G
77 Vitor Hugo
5 E. Basri
14 E. Sinani
44 T. Bardhoku D
8 K. Gashi M
17 M. Pefqeli M
10 A. Merlaku
98 M. Maliqi F
99 J. Stevenson F
47 D. Isufi
Bench (11)
16 K. Haxhihamza
23 I. Zulfiu
22 A. Bytyqi
27 V. Hoti
9 K. Thaci
33 Luan
7 G. Elezaj
3 M. Zenunaj
66 E. Sylejmani
2 D. Hyseni
88 E. Krasniqi

Coach: Armend Dallku

Lugano

3-1-4-2
16 D. von Ballmoos G
6 A. Papadopoulos D
17 L. Mai D
18 J. Bichsel D
8 A. Grgic M
46 M. Zanotti M
25 U. Bislimi M
27 D. Dos Santos M
21 Y. Cimignani M
91 K. Behrens F
11 R. Steffen F
Bench (12)
28 F. Gebhardt
39 C. Ndiaye
7 E. Alioski
23 G. Ajdin
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
4 D. Kelvin
24 E. Pihlstrom
30 D. Moncada
33 C. Raffa
3 H. Delcroix
14 A. Kendouci
32 N. Puddu

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.