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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Lugano
S T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Vaduz
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,97 xG 0,99
48% Possession 52%
22 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lugano Vaduz
1–0 A. Papadopoulos
L. Mai
29′
Antonios Papadopoulos 🟨
32′
2–0 L. Mai
R. Steffen
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Sorgic
↦ D. Djokic
57′
🔁 N. Hasler
↦ M. Beeli
58′
🔁 M. Eberhard
↦ J. Cabrera
D. Moncada 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
60′
D. Dos Santos 🔁
↦ A. Kendouci
60′
66′
🔁 M. Cocic
↦ J. Stark
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ E. Pihlstrom
70′
M. Zanotti 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
70′
71′
L. Dalipi 2–1
D. Sorgic
74′
🟨 Marcel Monsberger
80′
🔁 D. Schwizer
↦ M. Sawadogo
82′
🟥 Leon Schaffran
Carbone 🔁
↦ E. Alioski
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
16 D. von Ballmoos G
6 A. Papadopoulos D
17 L. Mai D
18 J. Bichsel D
21 Y. Cimignani M
25 U. Bislimi M
8 A. Grgic M
7 E. Alioski M
14 A. Kendouci F
11 R. Steffen F
24 E. Pihlstrom F
Bench (9)
28 F. Gebhardt
91 K. Behrens
46 M. Zanotti
23 G. Ajdin
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
4 D. Kelvin
30 D. Moncada
27 D. Dos Santos
44 Carbone

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Vaduz

4-3-1-2
25 L. Schaffran G
14 M. Beeli D
27 N. Lang D
5 L. Berisha D
29 M. Sawadogo D
17 J. Stark M
20 L. Mack M
10 J. Cabrera M
11 L. Dalipi M
9 M. Monsberger F
19 D. Djokic F
Bench (9)
1 B. Buchel
6 D. Simani
7 D. Schwizer
22 M. Eberhard
39 D. Sorgic
4 N. Hasler
23 M. Hammerich
28 M. Cocic
37 L. Celentano

Coach: Marc Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.