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Conference League
Referee: P Ciochirca
Sp Braga
T U U S S
1–0
Full-time
Dinamo Minsk
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Dinamo Minsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Dinamo Minsk
20′
🟨 Fawaz Abdullahi
1–0 R. Horta ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
Travassos 🔁
↦ Gabriel Silva
46′
46′
🔁 K. Vardanyan
↦ L. Gweth
62′
🔁 A. Sokolovskiy
↦ A. Zhechko
70′
🟨 Yevgeniy Malashevich
D. E. Tiknaz 🔁
↦ J. Moutinho
70′
D. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ D. Huseinbasic
70′
F. Navarro 🔁
↦ P. Victor
76′
78′
🔁 G. Alykulov
↦ E. Malashevich
87′
🟨 Karen Vardanyan
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-3-3
31 Bernardo G
2 V. Gomez M
22 Sergio Barcia D
6 Vitor Carvalho D
44 A. Bajrami D
8 J. Moutinho M
29 Gorby M
23 D. Huseinbasic M
11 Gabriel Silva F
21 R. Horta F
10 P. Victor F
Bench (12)
5 L. Lelo
7 Travassos
9 F. Navarro
12 T. Sa
14 G. Lagerbielke
20 M. Dorgeles
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
34 D. E. Tiknaz
37 A. Barisic
50 D. Rodrigues
77 G. Martinez
78 J. Carvalho

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Dinamo Minsk

4-3-3
1 I. Shimakovich G
44 G. Gurban D
12 A. Ivanov D
26 V. Kalinin D
24 A. Vakulich D
8 A. Selyava M
23 A. Zhechko M
42 F. Abdullahi M
30 M. Djimet F
80 L. Gweth F
7 E. Malashevich M
Bench (12)
2 M. Dubatovka
3 M. Shvetsov
5 D. Dushevskiy
9 A. Lutskovich
10 K. Vardanyan
11 G. Alykulov
19 R. Guibero
21 D. Radkevich
25 A. Toure
27 M. Aleksandrov
67 R. Begunov
78 A. Sokolovskiy

Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Ciochirca · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.