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Conference League
Referee: S Trpchevski
Paide
S S T T U
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paide Hegelmann Litauen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 44%
67%
20%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,6
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Paide Hegelmann Litauen
1–0 M. P. Sohna
D. Luts
17′
27′
🟨 Domas Slendzoka
39′
🟨 Vedad Radonja
2–0 A. Badamosi
M. P. Sohna
42′
Romet Nigula 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
Daniel Cabral 🔁
↦ R. Nigula
46′
S. Luts 🔁
↦ M. Miller
46′
46′
🔁 S. Oum Gouet
↦ M. Remeikis
46′
🔁 D. Tibell
↦ A. Njoya
46′
🔁 A. Kaulinis
↦ C. Duke
K. Piht 🔁
↦ D. Luts
62′
64′
🔁 A. Shchedryi
↦ E. Kausinis
H. Anier 🔁
↦ A. Badamosi
66′
3–0 K. Piht
69′
72′
🔁 D. Kazlauskas
↦ V. Armanavicius
M. Lilander 🔁
↦ Andrade
73′
Oskar Hoim 🟨
81′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paide

4-3-3
99 E. Jarju G
7 E. Tur D
27 N. Baranov D
3 Victor Hugo D
4 Andrade D
11 M. P. Sohna
28 O. Hoim M
10 M. Miller M
77 D. Luts M
30 A. Badamosi F
24 R. Nigula M
Bench (12)
12 M. Meerits
56 M. Sapp
2 M. Lilander
6 Daniel Cabral
8 H. Ojamaa
9 H. Anier
14 M. Jobarteh
16 A. Surogin
17 P. A. Cham
19 S. Luts
20 K. Piht
21 R. Smirnov

Coach: Tarmo Kink

Hegelmann Litauen

4-4-2
31 R. Bagdonavicius G
26 D. Slendzoka D
18 R. Sadauskas D
30 B. Isaac
37 V. Radonja D
21 E. Kausinis M
8 V. Armanavicius M
16 M. Remeikis M
7 C. Duke D
11 A. Njoya F
77 Wesley M
Bench (11)
1 L. Paukste
80 L. Kolendo
5 A. Puerto
6 A. Harouna
9 D. Kazlauskas
10 S. Oum Gouet
19 D. Pasilys
22 D. Tibell
24 D. Sinkevicius
45 A. Shchedryi
67 A. Kaulinis

Coach: Mikel Aramburu Erneta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.