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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Ried

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 33/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

39%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

38%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,00 xG 1,08

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 5. · SK Rapid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	32	17	7	8	+14	+14.1	58
2	Sturm Graz	32	16	8	8	+16	+11.2	56
3	Salzburg	32	13	9	10	+15	+11.0	48
4	Austria Vienna	32	14	5	13	-5	-1.3	47
5	Ried	33	13	6	14	-3	-2.1	45
6	SK Rapid	32	12	8	12	-5	-4.2	44
7	Hartberg	32	10	12	10	+0	-14.9	42
8	Altach	32	10	12	10	-3	-4.1	42
9	Wolfsberger AC	33	11	8	14	-2	-12.6	41
10	Tirol	32	10	10	12	-12	+0.1	40
11	Grazer AK	32	9	10	13	-3	+0.3	37
12	BW Linz	32	8	5	19	-12	+2.5	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	16	10	3	3	+9	+10.2	33
2	Altach	16	8	6	2	+6	+3.6	30
3	Ried	17	9	3	5	+4	+3.1	30
4	Tirol	16	7	5	4	+3	+3.6	26
5	Grazer AK	16	6	7	3	+6	+3.1	25
6	Wolfsberger AC	16	6	6	4	+5	-2.6	24
7	Sturm Graz	16	6	5	5	+0	+6.4	23
8	SK Rapid	16	7	2	7	-1	-0.4	23
9	Salzburg	16	6	4	6	+6	+5.8	22
10	BW Linz	16	7	1	8	+5	+6.3	22
11	Austria Vienna	16	6	3	7	-8	+0.2	21
12	Hartberg	16	4	5	7	-6	-5.1	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	16	10	3	3	+16	+4.8	33
2	Salzburg	16	7	5	4	+9	+5.2	26
3	Austria Vienna	16	8	2	6	+3	-1.5	26
4	Hartberg	16	6	7	3	+6	-9.7	25
5	LASK	16	7	4	5	+5	+3.9	25
6	SK Rapid	16	5	6	5	-4	-3.8	21
7	Wolfsberger AC	17	5	2	10	-7	-10.0	17
8	Ried	16	4	3	9	-7	-5.2	15
9	Tirol	16	3	5	8	-15	-3.5	14
10	Grazer AK	16	3	3	10	-9	-2.9	12
11	Altach	16	2	6	8	-9	-7.7	12
12	BW Linz	16	1	4	11	-17	-3.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.