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Conference League
Referee: Helgi Mikael Jonasson
AIK
T S T S U
6–0
Full-time
Paide
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -25 Paide – AIK 0–2

Match report

AIK Paide
0–1 N. Baranov
own goal
16′
0–2 M. Miller
own goal
24′
1–2 J. Hove
M. Thychosen
45′
Half-time 1–2
B. Tiedemann 🔁
↦ F. Benkovic
46′
Y. Geiger 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Saliste
↦ M. Gueye
2–2 A. Saletros
50′
3–2 J. Hove
B. Celina
54′
56′
🔁 P. A. Cham
↦ D. Luts
56′
🔁 O. Hoim
↦ L. Gilmore
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ E. Flataker
58′
C. Pavey 🔁
↦ S. Papagiannopoulos
58′
66′
🔁 M. Suso
↦ S. Luts
T. Ayari 🔁
↦ B. Celina
70′
4–2 A. Saletros
T. Ayari
76′
80′
🔁 H. Ojamaa
↦ M. Miller
Áron Csongvai 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Henrik Ojamaa
90′
🟨 Nikita Baranov
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
10 B. Celina M
7 A. Saletros M
33 A. Csongvai M
19 D. Besirovic M
20 E. Flataker F
8 J. Hove M
Bench (10)
30 K. Joelsson
5 K. Karlsson
11 J. Guidetti
12 C. Pavey
16 B. Tiedemann
18 A. Ali
21 S. Wilson
36 Z. Yohanna
45 T. Ayari
46 Y. Geiger

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Paide

99 E. Jarju G
25 M. Gueye M
23 M. Delevic D
27 N. Baranov D
2 M. Lilander D
10 M. Miller M
6 L. Gilmore M
8 H. Ojamaa M
77 D. Luts M
7 P. Corr F
19 S. Luts M
Bench (11)
12 M. Meerits
70 R. Isakar
3 Victor Hugo
9 H. Anier
11 S. Reinkort
15 H. Ojamaa
17 P. A. Cham
20 M. Suso
22 S. Soo
28 O. Hoim
29 J. Saliste

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.