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Conference League
Referee: M Milanovic
Fiorentina
U U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Dynamo Kyiv
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,88 xG 0,57
42% Possession 58%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv
1–0 M. Kean ⚽
Dodo
18′
Cher Ndour 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Vladyslav Dubinchak
55′
⚽ M. Mykhaylenko 1–1
O. Pikhalyonok
A. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ E. Dzeko
67′
F. Parisi 🔁
↦ M. Viti
67′
C. Kouame 🔁
↦ H. Nicolussi Caviglia
67′
71′
🔁 K. Vivcharenko
↦ V. Dubinchak
71′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ E. Guerrero
2–1 A. Gudmundsson ⚽
M. Kean
74′
77′
🔁 O. Yatsyk
↦ O. Pikhalyonok
77′
🔁 S. Ogundana
↦ V. Kabaev
R. Mandragora 🔁
↦ C. Ndour
80′
Albert Guðmundsson 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Aliou Thiare
E. Kouadio 🔁
↦ Dodo
86′
90′
🟨 Kostiantyn Vivcharenko
Eddy Kouadio 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-5-2
43 D. de Gea G
5 M. Pongracic D
15 P. Comuzzo D
26 M. Viti D
2 Dodo M
24 A. Richardson M
14 H. Nicolussi Caviglia M
27 C. Ndour M
29 N. Fortini M
9 E. Dzeko F
20 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
6 L. Ranieri
7 S. Sohm
8 R. Mandragora
10 A. Gudmundsson
18 P. Mari
23 E. Kospo
60 E. Kouadio
65 F. Parisi
91 R. Piccoli
99 C. Kouame

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Dynamo Kyiv

4-1-4-1
35 R. Neshcheret G
18 O. Tymchyk D
34 V. Zakharchenko D
66 A. Thiare D
44 V. Dubinchak D
91 M. Mykhaylenko M
9 N. Voloshyn M
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
10 M. Shaparenko M
22 V. Kabaev M
39 E. Guerrero F
Bench (11)
51 V. Morgun
74 D. Ignatenko
2 K. Vivcharenko
5 O. Yatsyk
7 A. Yarmolenko
14 V. Burtnyk
15 V. Rubchynskyi
16 S. Ogundana
20 O. Karavaev
32 T. Mykhavko
77 V. Blanuta

Coach: Igor Kostyuk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Milanovic · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.