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Conference League
Referee: Robert Jones
HNK Rijeka
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Sparta Praha
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
0%
71%
Points per game
0,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
0%
71%
Both score Ø 29%
0%
57%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
2,4
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,60 xG 0,72
43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Rijeka Sparta Praha
Toni Fruk ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
35′
🟨 Sivert Mannsverk
Half-time 0–0
D. Adu Adjei 🔁
↦ D. Cop
46′
46′
🔁 K. Kairinen
↦ S. Mannsverk
46′
🔁 M. Rynes
↦ M. Suchomel
47′
🟨 Asger Sørensen
L. Menalo 🔁
↦ D. Thaqi
67′
T. Dantas 🔁
↦ M. Ndockyt
67′
Ante Oreč 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Ángelo Preciado
1–0 D. Adu Adjei ⚽
A. Orec
75′
79′
🟨 Adam Sevinsky
79′
🔁 J. Mercado
↦ J. Zeleny
Dejan Petrovič 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 K. Milla
↦ P. Vydra
Daniel Adu-Adjei ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
89′
94′
🟨 Jan Kuchta
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

3-5-1-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
45 A. Majstorovic D
51 A. Husic D
34 M. Devetak D
22 A. Orec M
25 D. Thaqi M
8 D. Petrovic M
20 M. Ndockyt M
23 J. Lasickas M
10 T. Fruk F
9 D. Cop F
Bench (12)
1 V. Kovac
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
14 A. Gojak
17 L. Menalo
18 D. Adu Adjei
19 S. Vignato
26 T. Dantas
27 S. Butic
30 B. Bogojevic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Víctor Sánchez del Amo

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
19 A. Sevinsky D
25 A. Sorensen D
30 J. Zeleny D
17 A. Preciado M
26 P. Vydra M
20 S. Mannsverk M
2 M. Suchomel M
14 V. Birmancevic F
10 J. Kuchta F
9 A. Rrahmani F
Bench (11)
44 J. Surovcik
60 P. Rodriguez
3 P. Kaderabek
5 S. Eneme
6 K. Kairinen
7 J. Mercado
11 M. Rynes
16 E. Uchenna
27 F. Panak
28 K. Milla
36 G. Kuol

Coach: Brian Priske Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.