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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Molde
T S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Brann
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 3. · Brann 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Sarpsborg 08 24 11 9 4 +9 42
3 Molde 24 12 5 7 +12 41
4 Brann 24 11 7 6 +17 40
5 Haugesund 25 11 6 8 +3 39
6 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Valerenga 25 9 6 10 +0 33
9 Stabaek 24 9 6 9 -6 33
10 Sandefjord 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 25 7 8 10 -5 29
13 Sogndal 25 7 6 12 -8 27
14 Aalesund 25 6 7 12 -9 25
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 25 4 6 15 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Brann
35′
🟨 Kristoffer Barmen
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ T. Amang
38′
Half-time 0–0
Vegard Forren 🟨
52′
66′
🔁 D. Braaten
↦ P. Larsen
Stian Gregersen 🟨
68′
R. Gabrielsen 🔁
↦ M. Mostrøm
70′
E. Håland 🔁
↦ F. Brustad
74′
77′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ T. Børven
87′
🟨 Bismar Acosta
88′
🟨 Daniel Braaten
91′
🔁 V. Jonsson
↦ D. Vega
1–0 R. Gabrielsen
F. Aursnes
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 A. Linde G
29 V. Forren D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
8 B. Sarr D
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
11 M. Ellingsen M
9 M. Mostrøm F
33 F. Brustad F
20 T. Amang F
Bench (7)
28 I. Wadji
4 R. Gabrielsen
30 E. Håland
26 M. Ranmark
2 I. Ssewankambo
21 T. Svendsen
51 L. Oestigaard

Coach: O. Solskjær

Brann

5-4-1
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
5 J. Grønner D
7 P. Larsen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
22 T. Børven F
19 D. Vega F
Bench (7)
25 D. Braaten
14 L. Marengo
6 V. Jonsson
34 M. Bildöy
12 M. Pettersen
18 A. Karadas
38 A. Fantoft

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.