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Eliteserien
Referee: Ken Henry Johnsen
Lillestrom
U U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Brann
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
78%
22%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Brann 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 9 7 1 1 +13 22
2 Odd 9 6 2 1 +7 20
3 Molde 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Stromsgodset 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Brann 9 5 2 2 +2 17
6 Viking 9 5 1 3 +0 16
7 Haugesund 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Lillestrom 9 3 4 2 +4 13
9 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Sogndal 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Valerenga 9 3 0 6 -3 9
12 Tromso 9 2 3 4 -10 9
13 Aalesund 9 2 1 6 -3 7
14 Bodo/Glimt 9 2 1 6 -4 7
15 Stabaek 9 1 1 7 -9 4
16 Start 9 0 4 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Brann
29′
🟨 Vadim Demidov
1–0 E. Knudtzon
43′
Half-time 1–0
M. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ F. Kippe
46′
52′
🟨 Bismar Acosta
63′
🔁 E. Huseklepp
↦ M. Hvilsom
70′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ S. Skålevik
M. Ofkir 🔁
↦ M. Martin
76′
80′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
87′
🔁 K. Larsen
↦ F. Haugen
J. Kolstad 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
Bench (7)
22 M. Jakobsen
20 M. Ofkir
17 J. Kolstad
5 O. Rindarøy
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
12 J. Faye Lund
15 E. Brenden

Brann

24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
6 V. Demidov D
15 B. Acosta D
21 R. Kristiansen D
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
25 D. Braaten F
22 M. Hvilsom F
11 S. Skålevik F
Bench (7)
13 E. Huseklepp
18 A. Karadas
7 K. Larsen
1 A. Horwath
5 J. Grønner
9 K. Skaanes
26 D. Hatakka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ken Henry Johnsen · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.