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Conference League
Referee: D Stefanski
Aberdeen
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,78
51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aberdeen HJK Helsinki
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Kristopher Da Graca
↦ J. Toivio
55′
🔁 T. Ollila
↦ M. Peltola
C. Barron 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
59′
59′
B. Radulović 0–1
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ J. MacKenzie
64′
73′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ F. Rogić
73′
🔁 H. Bandé
↦ T. Keskinen
1–1 B. Miovski
79′
E. Sokler 🔁
↦ N. Devlin
87′
87′
🔁 N. Hämäläinen
↦ M. Tenho
90′
🟨 Lucas Lingman
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
3 J. MacKenzie M
7 J. McGrath F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (12)
8 C. Barron
17 J. Hayes
19 E. Sokler
27 A. MacDonald
21 D. Polvara
23 R. Duncan
32 F. Marshall
30 O. Dadia
14 P. Guèye
18 R. Williams
31 R. Doohan
28 J. Milne

Coach: B. Robson

HJK Helsinki

3-5-2
1 J. Öst G
15 M. Tenho D
4 J. Toivio D
14 M. Peltola D
23 P. Soiri M
10 L. Lingman M
8 F. Rogić M
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
22 J. Raitala M
9 B. Radulović F
18 T. Keskinen F
Bench (12)
2 T. Ollila
5 Kristopher Da Graca
56 P. Hetemaj
17 H. Bandé
3 N. Hämäläinen
7 S. Hostikka
19 A. Paananen
29 A. Olusanya
78 A. Ramula
6 A. Halme
11 R. Riski
37 A. Tanaka

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.