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Europa League
Referee: I Peljto
Olympiakos
U T T T S
0–3
Full-time
Qarabag
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Europa League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 12
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 8
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olympiakos Qarabag
6′
ℹ️ Abdellah Zoubir
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
🟨 Elvin Dzhafarquliyev
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
Marcelo 🔁
↦ A. Bouchalakis
60′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
60′
65′
🔁 Júlio Romão
↦ R. Almeyda
65′
🔁 R. Şeydayev
↦ Leandro Andrade
68′
⚽ O. Kwabena 0–1
Kady
69′
ℹ️ Owusu Kwabena
VAR: Goal confirmed
Hwang In-Beom 🔁
↦ P. Kunde
74′
A. Kamara 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
74′
82′
⚽ M. Vešović 0–2
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ P. Cissé
83′
86′
🟨 Ramil Sheydaev
86′
⚽ R. Şeydayev 0–3
M. Vešović
Mathieu Valbuena 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Qara Qarayev
91′
🔁 F. Ozobić
↦ O. Kwabena
91′
🔁 A. Hüseynov
↦ M. Vešović
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Olympiakos

5-3-2
88 K. Tzolakis G
26 Pipa Ávila D
2 Š. Vrsaljko D
6 Y. M'Vila D
66 P. Cissé D
45 O. Reabciuk D
8 P. Kunde M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
21 Pep Biel M
77 Garry Rodrigues F
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (11)
12 Marcelo
19 G. Masouras
33 Hwang In-Beom
47 A. Kamara
28 M. Valbuena
20 J. Bowler
99 T. Papadoudis
15 S. Papastathopoulos
17 M. Vrousai
91 A. Paschalakis
74 A. Ntoi

Coach: Míchel

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
2 Q. Qarayev M
7 R. Almeyda M
15 Leandro Andrade M
20 Kady M
10 A. Zoubir M
11 O. Kwabena F
Bench (12)
27 T. Bayramov
6 Júlio Romão
77 R. Şeydayev
19 F. Ozobić
30 A. Hüseynov
4 R. Məmmədov
22 M. Qurbanlı
5 M. Medvedev
23 L. Gugeshashvili
18 İ. İbrahimli
89 A. Ramazanov
81 K. Medina

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.