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Referee: J Kehlet
AEK Larnaca
S T T U U
1–0
Full-time
Dnipro-1
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Dnipro-1
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,31
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -22 AEK Larnaca – Dnipro-1 3–0 18. Aug -22 Dnipro-1 – AEK Larnaca 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.