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Europa League
Referee: H Meler
Ajax
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,46 xG 0,84
67% Possession 33%
8 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Union Berlin
Half-time 0–0
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ O. Wijndal
46′
57′
🟨 Rani Khedira
67′
ℹ️ Morten Thorsby
VAR: Goal cancelled
70′
🔁 J. Siebatcheu
↦ K. Behrens
D. Klaassen 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
75′
82′
🔁 S. Michel
↦ S. Becker
85′
🟨 Danilho Doekhi
90′
🔁 N. Gießelmann
↦ J. Roussillon
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-2-3-1
12 G. Rulli G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
5 O. Wijndal D
4 E. Álvarez M
8 K. Taylor M
23 S. Berghuis M
20 M. Kudus M
7 S. Bergwijn M
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (11)
9 B. Brobbey
6 D. Klaassen
28 K. Fitz-Jim
22 R. Pasveer
57 J. Hato
26 Y. Regeer
21 F. Grillitsch
43 O. Aertssen
18 L. Lucca
35 Francisco Conceição
1 M. Stekelenburg

Coach: J. Heitinga

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
18 J. Juranović M
20 A. Laïdouni M
8 R. Khedira M
2 M. Thorsby M
26 J. Roussillon M
27 S. Becker F
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (10)
45 J. Siebatcheu
11 S. Michel
23 N. Gießelmann
39 Y. Stein
40 J. Leweling
16 T. Maciejewski
3 P. Jaeckel
37 L. Grill
36 A. Kemlein
34 M. Sanogo

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.