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Europa League
Referee: E Jorgji
Qarabag
U S U T T
3–0
Full-time
Nantes
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Nantes
Half-time 1–0
1–0 O. Kwabena ⚽
F. Ozobić
60′
R. Şeydayev 🔁
↦ F. Ozobić
62′
64′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ I. Ganago
64′
🔁 Chirivella
↦ M. Sissoko
2–0 A. Zoubir ⚽
Kady
65′
3–0 M. Janković ⚽
Q. Qarayev
72′
76′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ M. Simon
76′
🔁 Andrei Girotto
↦ S. Moutoussamy
80′
🟨 Andrei Girotto
84′
🔁 D. Appiah
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
Elvin Dzhafarquliyev 🟨
87′
Leandro Andrade 🔁
↦ O. Kwabena
88′
R. Almeyda 🔁
↦ M. Janković
88′
Júlio Romão 🔁
↦ Q. Qarayev
89′
M. Qurbanlı 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
2 Q. Qarayev M
8 M. Janković M
20 Kady M
19 F. Ozobić M
10 A. Zoubir M
11 O. Kwabena F
Bench (11)
77 R. Şeydayev
15 Leandro Andrade
7 R. Almeyda
6 Júlio Romão
22 M. Qurbanlı
30 A. Hüseynov
89 A. Ramazanov
90 N. Axundzadə
23 L. Gugeshashvili
27 T. Bayramov
18 İ. İbrahimli

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Nantes

4-4-2
1 A. Lafont G
24 S. Corchia D
21 J. Castelletto D
4 N. Pallois D
2 Fábio D
14 I. Ganago M
17 M. Sissoko M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
27 M. Simon M
10 L. Blas F
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
7 E. Guessand
5 Chirivella
11 M. Coco
3 Andrei Girotto
12 D. Appiah
55 K. Bamba
30 D. Petrić
16 R. Descamps
29 Q. Merlin

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.