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Europa League
Referee: M Mariani
Barcelona
S S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Man United
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 2,18
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona Man United
Jordi Alba 🟨
30′
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ Pedri
41′
43′
🟨 Raphaël Varane
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Marcos Alonso ⚽
Raphinha
50′
52′
⚽ M. Rashford 1–1
Fred
59′
⚽ J. Koundé 2–1
own goal
65′
🟨 Casemiro
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ F. Kessie
67′
A. Christensen 🔁
↦ Marcos Alonso
67′
Alejandro Balde 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
67′
72′
🟨 Tyrell Malacia
Gavi 🟨
73′
3–1 Raphinha ⚽
J. Koundé
76′
81′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ J. Sancho
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ Raphinha
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
1 M. ter Stegen G
4 R. Araujo D
23 J. Koundé D
17 Marcos Alonso D
18 Jordi Alba D
21 F. de Jong M
19 F. Kessie M
22 Raphinha M
8 Pedri M
30 Gavi M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
20 Sergi Roberto
10 Ansu Fati
15 A. Christensen
28 Alejandro Balde
11 Ferran Torres
29 Marc Casadó
24 Eric García
38 Ángel Alarcón
36 Arnau Tenas
26 Iñaki Peña
32 Pablo Torre

Coach: Xavi

Man United

4-1-4-1
1 David de Gea G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
19 R. Varane D
23 L. Shaw D
12 T. Malacia D
18 Casemiro M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
27 W. Weghorst M
17 Fred M
25 J. Sancho M
10 M. Rashford F
Bench (10)
49 A. Garnacho
20 Diogo Dalot
22 T. Heaton
31 J. Butland
55 Zidane Iqbal
2 V. Lindelöf
36 A. Elanga
5 H. Maguire
28 F. Pellistri
73 K. Mainoo

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.