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Europa League
Referee: C Pawson
Qarabag
U T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Europa League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
100%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
33%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -22 Olympiakos – Qarabag 0–3

Match report

Qarabag Olympiakos
40′
🟨 Šime Vrsaljko
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 Marcelo
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
60′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ Pep Biel
F. Ozobić 🔁
↦ Kady
62′
Richard Almeida 🟨
66′
M. Janković 🔁
↦ R. Almeyda
68′
Júlio Romão 🔁
↦ Q. Qarayev
68′
69′
🔁 Y. M'Vila
↦ P. Kunde
Júlio Romão 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Sokratis
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
85′
A. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ O. Kwabena
85′
86′
🔁 Hwang In-Beom
↦ A. Bouchalakis
86′
🔁 Garry Rodrigues
↦ M. Vrousai
Marko Vešović 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
2 Q. Qarayev M
7 R. Almeyda M
77 R. Şeydayev M
20 Kady M
10 A. Zoubir M
11 O. Kwabena F
Bench (12)
19 F. Ozobić
8 M. Janković
6 Júlio Romão
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Hüseynov
22 M. Qurbanlı
5 M. Medvedev
4 R. Məmmədov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
18 İ. İbrahimli
89 A. Ramazanov
81 K. Medina

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Olympiakos

4-4-2
91 A. Paschalakis G
2 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
74 A. Ntoi D
45 O. Reabciuk D
17 M. Vrousai M
8 P. Kunde M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
21 Pep Biel M
47 A. Kamara F
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (12)
12 Marcelo
28 M. Valbuena
6 Y. M'Vila
33 Hwang In-Beom
77 Garry Rodrigues
80 A. Sapountzis
24 O. Ba
20 J. Bowler
88 K. Tzolakis
19 G. Masouras
66 P. Cissé
99 T. Papadoudis

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.