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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Sp Lisbon
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,65 xG 0,22
72% Possession 28%
16 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Midtjylland
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ V. Andreasen
59′
🔁 O. Sørensen
↦ F. Heiselberg
63′
🟨 Emiliano Martínez
Trincão 🔁
↦ Arthur Gomes
65′
Héctor Bellerín 🔁
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
65′
67′
🔁 Emam Ashour
↦ E. Martínez
67′
🔁 V. Bak
↦ Paulinho
Youssef Chermiti 🔁
↦ Paulinho
77′
77′
⚽ Emam Ashour 0–1
Gonçalo Inácio 🔁
↦ Matheus Reis
78′
83′
🟨 Gustav Isaksen
86′
🟨 Armin Gigović
M. Tanlongo 🔁
↦ M. Ugarte
86′
86′
🔁 A. Şimşir
↦ G. Isaksen
Sebastián Coates 🟨
88′
Mateo Tanlongo 🟨
93′
1–1 S. Coates ⚽
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
3 J. St. Juste D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
15 M. Ugarte M
28 Pote M
11 Nuno Santos M
10 M. Edwards F
33 Arthur Gomes F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (12)
17 Trincão
19 Héctor Bellerín
79 Youssef Chermiti
25 Gonçalo Inácio
32 M. Tanlongo
18 I. Fatawu
12 F. Israel
16 Rochinha
82 Mateus Fernandes
26 O. Diomande
13 Luís Carlos
77 Jovane Cabral

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
6 J. Andersson D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
29 Paulinho D
37 A. Gigović M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
11 G. Isaksen F
47 F. Heiselberg F
20 V. Andreasen F
Bench (12)
18 E. Chilufya
24 O. Sørensen
10 Emam Ashour
55 V. Bak
58 A. Şimşir
17 M. Thychosen
66 G. Fraulo
30 M. Ugboh
16 E. Ólafsson
35 Charles
22 P. Texel
73 Juninho

Coach: Albert Capellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.