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Europa League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Dinamo Zagreb
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Genk
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 49%
38%
60%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,53 xG 1,42
55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
4 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Genk
15′
⚽ B. Heynen 0–1
K. Karetsas
21′
⚽ Z. El Ouahdi 0–2
Dion Drena Beljo 🟨
35′
1–2 D. Beljo ⚽
F. Topic
44′
Half-time 1–2
Miha Zajc 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 R. Mirisola
↦ A. Bibout
70′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ J. Ito
70′
🔁 I. Bangoura
↦ J. Steuckers
G. Vidovic 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
71′
M. Lisica 🔁
↦ F. Topic
71′
C. Varela 🔁
↦ A. Hoxha
71′
M. Soldo 🔁
↦ L. Stojkovic
79′
M. Bakrar 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
79′
88′
🔁 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
↦ K. Karetsas
90′
⚽ Z. El Ouahdi 1–3
D. Heymans
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
40 D. Livakovic G
25 M. Valincic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
22 M. Perez Vinlof D
27 J. Misic M
30 F. Topic M
7 L. Stojkovic M
8 M. Zajc M
11 A. Hoxha M
9 D. Beljo F
Bench (10)
44 I. Filipovic
3 B. Goda
10 G. Vidovic
14 M. Soldo
15 N. Galesic
21 M. Lisica
23 C. Varela
28 K. Theophile-Catherine
47 P. Horvat
71 M. Bakrar

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 T. Lawal G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
8 B. Heynen M
38 D. Heymans M
7 J. Steuckers M
20 K. Karetsas M
10 J. Ito M
23 A. Bibout F
Bench (11)
1 H. Van Crombrugge
97 E. Doucoure
14 Y. Sor
19 Y. Medina
21 I. Bangoura
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
29 R. Mirisola
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.