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Europa League
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Ludogorets
T S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 73%
70%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,47 xG 1,57
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Ludogorets 3–1 12. Aug -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Ludogorets 3–0 6. Aug -25 Ludogorets – Ferencvarosi TC 0–0

Match report

Ludogorets Ferencvarosi TC
Vinicius Nogueira 🟨
4′
1–0 K. Duah ⚽
Pedro Naressi
24′
27′
⚽ Dele 1–1
M. Abu Fani
38′
🟨 Mohammad Abu Fani
Half-time 1–1
I. Nachmias 🔁
↦ O. Verdon
46′
Dinis Almeida 🟨
51′
Pedro Naressi 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Cadu
61′
🔁 J. Romao
↦ B. Otvos
Erick Marcus 🔁
↦ Vinicius Nogueira
65′
2–1 Son ⚽
Erick Marcus
67′
75′
🔁 K. Zachariassen
↦ M. Abu Fani
75′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ Cadu
75′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ F. Kovacevic
Rwan Cruz 🔁
↦ K. Duah
76′
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ P. Stanic
76′
78′
🟨 Callum O'Dowda
83′
🟨 Cebrail Makreckis
J. Andersson 🔁
↦ Son
83′
86′
🔁 Z. Gruber
↦ Dele
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 D. Duarte M
11 Caio Vidal M
14 P. Stanic M
27 Vinicius Nogueira M
9 K. Duah F
Bench (12)
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
2 J. Andersson
12 Rwan Cruz
18 I. Chochev
26 F. Kaloc
37 B. Tekpetey
55 I. Nachmias
77 Erick Marcus
81 G. Penev
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
99 D. Grof G
27 I. Cisse D
28 T. Raemaekers D
4 M. Gomez D
25 C. Makreckis M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
23 B. Otvos M
15 M. Abu Fani M
20 Cadu M
19 F. Kovacevic F
11 Dele F
Bench (12)
1 A. Varga
82 Z. Toth
5 N. Keita
10 J. Levi
16 K. Zachariassen
22 G. Szalai
30 Z. Gruber
47 C. O'Dowda
66 J. Romao
72 A. Madarasz
75 L. Joseph
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robbie Keane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.