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Europa League
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Dinamo Zagreb
T S S S U
0–3
Full-time
Celta
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,75 xG 1,44
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Celta
4′
⚽ P. Duran 0–1
I. Aspas
28′
⚽ S. Dominguez 1–1
own goal
44′
⚽ P. Duran 1–2
B. Zaragoza
Half-time 1–2
M. Perez Vinlof 🔁
↦ B. Goda
46′
M. Bakrar 🔁
↦ K. Theophile-Catherine
46′
L. Stojkovic 🔁
↦ D. Ljubicic
59′
D. Beljo 🔁
↦ S. Kulenovic
59′
63′
🔁 B. Iglesias
↦ P. Duran
63′
🔁 F. Jutgla
↦ B. Zaragoza
76′
🔁 D. Rodriguez
↦ F. Beltran
76′
🔁 Y. Lago
↦ C. Starfelt
G. Villar 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
78′
85′
🔁 H. Sotelo
↦ M. Roman
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3
33 I. Nevistic G
28 K. Theophile-Catherine D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
3 B. Goda D
77 D. Ljubicic M
27 J. Misic M
8 M. Zajc M
21 M. Lisica F
17 S. Kulenovic F
11 A. Hoxha F
Bench (12)
44 I. Filipovic
6 G. Villar
7 L. Stojkovic
9 D. Beljo
10 G. Vidovic
14 M. Soldo
15 N. Galesic
20 R. Mudrazija
22 M. Perez Vinlof
23 C. Varela
35 N. Mikic
71 M. Bakrar

Coach: Mario Kovačević

Celta

4-3-3
1 I. Villar G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
24 C. Dominguez D
21 M. Ristic D
10 I. Aspas M
8 F. Beltran M
16 M. Roman M
39 J. El Abdellaoui F
18 P. Duran F
15 B. Zaragoza F
Bench (12)
25 M. V. Vidal Girona
3 O. Mingueza
5 S. Carreira
6 I. Moriba
7 B. Iglesias
9 F. Jutgla
12 M. Fernandez
14 D. Rodriguez
20 M. Alonso
22 H. Sotelo
29 Y. Lago
40 M. Gonzalez

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anastasios Papapetrou · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.