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Europa League
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Lille
T S T U U
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
50%
13%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,6
1,6
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,47 xG 2,34
53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.