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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
Omonia Nicosia
U U S S T
0–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/6 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 21%
25%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,83 xG 0,56
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Omonia Nicosia HNK Rijeka
Panagiotis Andreou 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Merveil Ndockyt
Half-time 0–0
Andreas Christou 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 Téo Barišić
A. Dionkou 🔁
↦ M. Odubajo
63′
A. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ A. Christou
63′
66′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ T. Fruk
74′
🔁 T. Morchiladze
↦ T. Barisic
74′
🔁 D. Petrovic
↦ M. Ndockyt
79′
🟨 Tornike Morchiladze
81′
🔁 D. Adu Adjei
↦ A. Juric
Willy Semedo 🟨
84′
86′
⚽ D. Adu Adjei 0–1
T. Dantas
Giannis Masouras 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Tornike Morchiladze
89′
🟥 Tornike Morchiladze
A. Neofytou 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia

4-4-2
40 Fabiano Freitas G
21 G. Masouras D
5 S. Coulibaly D
29 J. Balkovec D
28 M. Odubajo D
82 A. Christou
74 P. Andreou M
6 C. Eiting M
7 W. Semedo M
22 M. Tankovic F
19 R. Mmaee F
Bench (11)
23 F. Uzoho
98 C. Kyriakidis
2 A. Dionkou
10 A. Chatzigiovanis
27 S. Simic
30 N. Panagiotou
31 I. Kousoulos
44 N. Erakovic
85 A. Neofytou
88 C. Evangelou
91 K. Panagi

Coach: Henning Berg

HNK Rijeka

3-5-1-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
28 T. Barisic D
45 A. Majstorovic D
34 M. Devetak D
22 A. Orec M
26 T. Dantas M
55 A. Barco M
20 M. Ndockyt M
23 J. Lasickas M
10 T. Fruk F
77 A. Juric F
Bench (10)
1 V. Kovac
99 A. Todorovic
7 T. Morchiladze
8 D. Petrovic
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
18 D. Adu Adjei
19 S. Vignato
25 D. Thaqi
51 A. Husic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.