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Europa League
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Dinamo Zagreb
S U T T T
4–1
Full-time
FCSB
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
83%
70%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,84 xG 0,24
47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.