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Europa League
Referee: Aliyar Aghayev
Young Boys
S S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 73%
63%
83%
Points per game
1,9
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
63%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,86 xG 0,59
39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Lyon
45′
A. Maitland-Niles 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ N. Tagliafico
Alvyn Sanches ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
C. Fassnacht 🔁
↦ D. Males
71′
J. Monteiro 🔁
↦ A. Sanches
71′
76′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ A. Moreira
76′
🔁 R. Himbert
↦ K. Merah
R. Andrews 🔁
↦ S. Janko
80′
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ A. Virginius
80′
A. Gigovic 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
80′
82′
🟨 Ruben Kluivert
Rayan Raveloson 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Tyler Morton
91′
🔁 M. de Carvalho
↦ T. Morton
91′
🔁 T. Goncalves
↦ P. Sulc
Sandro Lauper 🟨
92′
Loris Benito 🟨
92′
95′
🟨 Mathys de Carvalho
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
1 M. Keller G
17 S. Janko D
5 G. Wuthrich D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
45 R. Raveloson M
6 E. Fernandes M
39 D. Males M
10 A. Sanches M
7 A. Virginius M
9 S. Cordova F
Bench (11)
12 H. Lindner
40 D. Marzino
2 R. Andrews
13 D. Pech
16 C. Fassnacht
29 C. Bedia
37 A. Gigovic
54 L. Dalipi
57 O. Mambwa
66 R. Smith
77 J. Monteiro

Coach: Gerardo Seoane

Lyon

4-3-3
40 R. Descamps G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 C. Mata D
21 R. Kluivert D
3 N. Tagliafico D
6 T. Tessmann M
23 T. Morton M
44 K. Merah M
7 A. Karabec F
10 P. Sulc F
17 A. Moreira F
Bench (9)
1 D. Greif
50 L. Diarra
5 O. Mangala
8 C. Tolisso
29 E. Molebe
32 A. Gomes
39 M. de Carvalho
45 R. Himbert
46 T. Goncalves

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.