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Europa League
Referee: Istvan Kovacs
Celtic
S S S S T
0–3
Full-time
Roma
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,34 xG 1,47
57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 8
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celtic Roma
6′
⚽ L. Scales 1–0
own goal
36′
⚽ E. Ferguson 1–1
Z. Celik
45′
⚽ E. Ferguson 1–2
M. Soule
Half-time 1–2
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
46′
P. Bernardo 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
46′
C. Donovan 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
46′
48′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
49′
🟨 Stephan El Shaarawy
50′
🟨 Matías Soulé
A. Ralston 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
62′
Kelechi Iheanacho ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
69′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ S. El Shaarawy
69′
🔁 P. Dybala
↦ M. Soule
69′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ E. Ferguson
76′
ℹ️ Leon Bailey
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
77′
78′
🟨 Evan Ndicka
80′
🔁 J. Ziolkowski
↦ M. Hermoso
85′
🔁 Angelino
↦ N. Pisilli
88′
🟨 Jan Ziółkowski
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celtic

3-4-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
23 S. Tounekti M
27 A. Engels F
38 D. Maeda F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (10)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
10 M. Balikwisha
14 L. McCowan
17 K. Iheanacho
24 J. Kenny
28 P. Bernardo
47 D. Murray
51 C. Donovan
56 A. Ralston

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 M. Hermoso D
19 Z. Celik M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
61 N. Pisilli M
2 D. Rensch M
18 M. Soule F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
11 E. Ferguson F
Bench (12)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
3 Angelino
4 B. Cristante
7 L. Pellegrini
12 K. Tsimikas
17 M. Kone
21 P. Dybala
24 J. Ziolkowski
31 L. Bailey
43 Wesley Franca
87 D. Ghilardi

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.