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Europa League
Referee: Radu Marian Petrescu
Celta
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Bologna
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,34 xG 2,20
50% Possession 50%
3 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celta Bologna
1–0 B. Zaragoza ⚽
W. Swedberg
17′
Half-time 1–0
H. Alvarez 🔁
↦ B. Zaragoza
46′
60′
ℹ️ Tommaso Pobega
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
ℹ️ Tommaso Pobega
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
⚽ F. Bernardeschi 1–1
F. Jutgla 🔁
↦ B. Iglesias
67′
I. Aspas 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
67′
J. Rueda 🔁
↦ O. Mingueza
67′
67′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ J. Rowe
74′
⚽ F. Bernardeschi 1–2
N. Cambiaghi
M. Roman 🔁
↦ F. Beltran
79′
80′
🔁 R. Orsolini
↦ F. Bernardeschi
80′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ S. Castro
84′
🟨 Emil Holm
Ionuț Radu 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 L. Ferguson
↦ T. Pobega
88′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ N. Moro
Javier Rueda 🟨
92′
Ilaix Moriba 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
21 M. Ristic D
5 S. Carreira M
8 F. Beltran M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
19 W. Swedberg F
7 B. Iglesias F
15 B. Zaragoza F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
9 F. Jutgla
10 I. Aspas
12 M. Fernandez
14 D. Rodriguez
16 M. Roman
17 J. Rueda
20 M. Alonso
22 H. Sotelo
23 H. Alvarez
29 Y. Lago
39 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Bologna

4-2-3-1
13 F. Ravaglia G
2 E. Holm D
14 T. Heggem D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
33 J. Miranda D
6 N. Moro M
4 T. Pobega M
10 F. Bernardeschi M
80 G. Fabbian M
11 J. Rowe M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (10)
25 M. Pessina
82 M. Franceschelli
7 R. Orsolini
19 L. Ferguson
20 N. Zortea
21 J. Odgaard
24 T. Dallinga
26 J. Lucumi
28 N. Cambiaghi
30 B. Dominguez

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.