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Europa League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Nice
S T S S T
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,79 xG 2,13
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.