Europa League
Referee: Giorgi Kruashvili
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Salzburg
Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–0
2,33
xG
1,37
43%
Possession
57%
17
Shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
5
Blocked shots
1
2
Goalkeeper saves
6
3
Corners
4
1
Offside
2
7
Free kicks against
7
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Salzburg
Go Ahead Eagles
🟨
Yassir Rahmouni
🟨
Mathis Suray
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. Vertessen
⚽
A. Terzic
M. K. Yeo
🔁
↦ S. Kitano
🔁
O. Pettersson
↦ K. Goudmijn
P. Ratkov
🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
E. Aguilar
🔁
↦ C. Bischoff
🔁
G. van Zwam
↦ Y. Salah Rahmouni
🔁
F. Stokkers
↦ R. Margaret
2–0 A. Terzic
⚽
M. Kjaergaard
T. Trummer
🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
🔁
O. Sivertsen
↦ M. Suray
🔁
J. Dirksen
↦ C. Twigt
Full-time 2–0
Line-ups
Salzburg
4-3-3
52
C. Zawieschitzky
G
C. Zawieschitzky
G
22
S. Lainer
D
S. Lainer
D
44
J. Schuster
D
J. Schuster
D
2
J. Rasmussen
D
J. Rasmussen
D
3
A. Terzic
D
A. Terzic
D
8
S. Kitano
M
S. Kitano
M
5
S. Diabate
M
S. Diabate
M
14
M. Kjaergaard
M
M. Kjaergaard
M
20
E. Baidoo
F
E. Baidoo
F
11
Y. Vertessen
F
Y. Vertessen
F
7
C. Bischoff
F
C. Bischoff
F
Bench (9)
92
S. Hamzic
13
F. Kratzig
15
M. Diambou
21
P. Ratkov
23
J. Gadou
29
L. Gourna-Douath
37
T. Trummer
43
E. Aguilar
49
M. K. Yeo
Coach: Thomas Letsch
Go Ahead Eagles
4-2-3-1
22
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
2
M. Deijl
D
M. Deijl
D
21
M. Meulensteen
D
M. Meulensteen
D
4
J. Kramer
D
J. Kramer
D
5
D. James
D
D. James
D
6
C. Twigt
M
C. Twigt
M
34
Y. Salah Rahmouni
M
Y. Salah Rahmouni
M
18
R. Margaret
M
R. Margaret
M
24
K. Goudmijn
M
K. Goudmijn
M
17
M. Suray
M
M. Suray
M
9
M. Smit
F
M. Smit
F
Bench (12)
1
L. Plogmann
30
S. Jansen
33
N. Verdoni
8
E. Linthorst
11
O. Sivertsen
14
O. Pettersson
15
R. Weijenberg
25
G. van Zwam
26
J. Dirksen
27
F. Stokkers
29
A. Adelgaard
32
O. Boakye
Coach: Melvin Boel
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.