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Europa League
Referee: Julian Weinberger
Aston Villa
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
33%
71%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,07 xG 1,10
66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aston Villa Maccabi Tel Aviv
14′
🔁 Heitor
↦ M. Camara
29′
🟨 Itamar Noy
37′
🟨 Issouf Sissokho
1–0 I. Maatsen ⚽
M. Rogers
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Malen ⚽
59′
60′
🔁 S. Jehezkel
↦ O. Davida
60′
🔁 I. Shahar
↦ I. Noy
O. Watkins 🔁
↦ M. Rogers
64′
B. Kamara 🔁
↦ P. Torres
64′
J. McGinn 🔁
↦ A. Onana
75′
Y. Tielemans 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
75′
E. Buendia 🔁
↦ E. Guessand
75′
78′
🔁 K. Andrade
↦ D. Peretz
78′
🔁 I. Nicolaescu
↦ H. Varela
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martinez G
3 V. Lindelof D
4 E. Konsa D
14 P. Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
26 L. Bogarde M
24 A. Onana M
29 E. Guessand M
27 M. Rogers M
19 J. Sancho M
17 D. Malen F
Bench (12)
40 M. Bizot
95 R. Oakley
2 M. Cash
6 R. Barkley
7 J. McGinn
8 Y. Tielemans
9 H. Elliott
10 E. Buendia
11 O. Watkins
12 L. Digne
44 B. Kamara
62 B. Broggio

Coach: Unai Emery Etxegoien

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-2-3-1
90 R. Mishpati G
6 T. Asante D
13 R. Shlomo D
5 M. Camara D
3 R. Revivo D
28 I. Sissokho M
30 I. Noy M
77 O. Davida M
42 D. Peretz M
29 H. Varela M
19 E. Madmon F
Bench (12)
22 O. Melika
1 Y. Gerafi
4 Heitor
10 K. Andrade
11 S. Jehezkel
14 D. Gropper
21 N. Ben Harush
23 B. Lederman
34 S. Abu Farhi
36 I. Shahar
41 I. Ben Hamo
98 I. Nicolaescu

Coach: Žarko Lazetić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.