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Europa League
Referee: Willy Delajod
Malmo FF
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,63 xG 2,45
25% Possession 75%
6 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Dinamo Zagreb
Kenan Busuladzic 🟨
8′
23′
🟨 Dion Drena Beljo
1–0 O. Lewicki
O. Rosengren
45′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 L. Stojkovic
↦ M. Zajc
61′
🔁 S. Kulenovic
↦ D. Beljo
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ S. Haksabanovic
69′
77′
🔁 G. Vidovic
↦ D. Ljubicic
77′
🔁 M. Bakrar
↦ M. Lisica
S. Holmquist 🔁
↦ J. Stryger
82′
T. Ali 🔁
↦ E. Ekong
82′
85′
🔁 C. Varela
↦ A. Hoxha
90′
🟨 Sergi Domínguez
90′
C. Varela 1–1
M. Bakrar
A. Djuric 🔁
↦ O. Lewicki
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-1-4-1
33 M. Ellborg G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
6 O. Lewicki M
38 H. Bolin M
40 K. Busuladzic M
7 O. Rosengren M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
11 E. Ekong F
Bench (11)
27 J. Dahlin
50 J. Persson
2 J. Karlsson
5 A. Djuric
13 M. Olsson
15 S. Soumah
21 S. Holmquist
22 T. Ali
37 A. Skogmar
48 T. Lundbergh
46 A. Palac

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
33 I. Nevistic G
25 M. Valincic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
3 B. Goda D
27 J. Misic M
21 M. Lisica M
77 D. Ljubicic M
8 M. Zajc M
11 A. Hoxha M
9 D. Beljo F
Bench (12)
44 I. Filipovic
6 G. Villar
7 L. Stojkovic
10 G. Vidovic
14 M. Soldo
15 N. Galesic
17 S. Kulenovic
20 R. Mudrazija
22 M. Perez Vinlof
23 C. Varela
71 M. Bakrar
86 L. Jakirovic

Coach: Mario Kovačević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Willy Delajod · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.