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Europa League
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Celta
T T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Nice
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,31 xG 1,18
65% Possession 35%
25 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Celta Nice
1–0 I. Aspas
2′
16′
M. Cho 1–1
S. Abdul Samed
29′
🟨 Jonathan Clauss
38′
🟨 Jonathan Clauss
38′
🟥 Jonathan Clauss
Half-time 1–1
B. Iglesias 🔁
↦ H. Alvarez
46′
46′
🔁 A. Mendy
↦ M. Cho
47′
🟨 Antoine Mendy
65′
🟨 Melvin Bard
J. Rueda 🔁
↦ P. Duran
66′
70′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ M. Sanson
70′
🔁 T. Gouveia
↦ A. Abdi
O. Mingueza 🔁
↦ S. Carreira
71′
H. Sotelo 🔁
↦ F. Beltran
71′
1–2 K. Peprah
own goal
75′
F. Cervi 🔁
↦ B. Zaragoza
78′
Manu Fernández 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ T. Louchet
81′
🔁 B. Nguene
↦ Kevin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
12 M. Fernandez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
23 H. Alvarez M
8 F. Beltran M
16 M. Roman M
5 S. Carreira M
10 I. Aspas F
18 P. Duran F
15 B. Zaragoza F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
3 O. Mingueza
6 I. Moriba
7 B. Iglesias
9 F. Jutgla
11 F. Cervi
14 D. Rodriguez
17 J. Rueda
21 M. Ristic
22 H. Sotelo
24 C. Dominguez
32 J. Rodriguez

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

Nice

3-4-3
80 Y. Diouf G
37 K. Peprah D
28 J. Bah D
26 M. Bard D
92 J. Clauss M
20 T. Louchet M
99 S. Abdul Samed M
2 A. Abdi M
25 M. Cho F
90 Kevin F
8 M. Sanson F
Bench (12)
30 B. Zelazowski
31 M. Dupe
7 J. Boga
10 S. Diop
21 I. Jansson
22 T. Ndombele
24 C. Vanhoutte
33 A. Mendy
39 D. Coulibaly
47 T. Gouveia
48 L. Monteiro
49 B. Nguene

Coach: Franck Armel Gérard Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.