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Europa League
Referee: John Brooks
FK Crvena Zvezda
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Lille
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,71 xG 1,58
40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
Nemanja Radonjić 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
Marko Arnautović 🟨
65′
V. Kostov 🔁
↦ T. Handel
66′
67′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ F. Correia
67′
🔁 O. Giroud
↦ H. Igamane
67′
🔁 T. Meunier
↦ T. Santos
81′
🔁 H. Haraldsson
↦ N. Mukau
83′
🟨 Berke Özer
1–0 M. Arnautovic ⚽
85′
86′
🔁 R. Perraud
↦ C. Verdonk
Milson 🔁
↦ M. Ivanic
88′
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ M. Arnautovic
88′
Matheus 🟨
91′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ N. Radonjic
92′
93′
🟨 Matías Fernández
97′
🟨 Romain Perraud
97′
🟨 Nabil Bentaleb
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
13 M. Veljkovic D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
49 N. Radonjic M
20 T. Handel M
4 M. Ivanic M
89 M. Arnautovic F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
5 Rodrigo
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
10 A. Katai
17 Bruno Duarte
19 A. Damjanovic
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Lekovic
71 A. Avdic

Coach: Vladan Milojević

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
22 T. Santos D
18 C. Mbemba D
23 A. Mandi D
24 C. Verdonk D
6 N. Bentaleb M
32 A. Bouaddi M
14 M. Broholm M
17 N. Mukau M
27 F. Correia M
29 H. Igamane F
Bench (12)
16 A. Bodart
50 S. Merzouk
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo
9 O. Giroud
10 H. Haraldsson
11 O. Sahraoui
12 T. Meunier
15 R. Perraud
21 B. Andre
28 U. Raghouber
35 S. Diaoune
38 A. Goffi

Coach: Bruno Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.