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Champions League
Referee: A Hernandez
1–2
Full-time
Pafos
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Pafos
1′
J. Correia 0–1
M. Tankovic
17′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ M. Tankovic
31′
ℹ️ Bruno
VAR: Goal cancelled
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ P. Olayinka
32′
Half-time 0–2
52′
Pepe 0–2
Bruno Duarte ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
1–2 Bruno Duarte
58′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Bajo
69′
73′
🔁 Jaja
↦ J. Correia
73′
🔁 B. Langa
↦ K. Pileas
73′
🔁 M. Ilia
↦ Anderson Silva
Mirko Ivanić 🟨
77′
Mirko Ivanić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
77′
84′
🔁 M. Orsic
87′
🟨 Bruno Langa
Milson 🔁
↦ S. Babicka
87′
Full-time 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Hernandez · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.