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Europa League
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic
Utrecht
S U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 1,00
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Utrecht Lyon
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Pavel Šulc
65′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ T. Morton
65′
🔁 A. Moreira
↦ M. Fofana
65′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ A. Karabec
65′
🔁 A. Maitland-Niles
↦ N. Tagliafico
66′
🟨 Clinton Mata
75′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
75′
⚽ T. Tessmann 0–1
R. Ghezzal
80′
🟨 Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D. Min 🔁
↦ N. Vesterlund
80′
A. Blake 🔁
↦ D. Murkin
80′
Alonzo Engwanda 🟨
84′
M. Eerdhuijzen 🔁
↦ N. Viergever
89′
93′
🔁 K. Merah
↦ P. Sulc
Souffian El Karouani 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
23 N. Vesterlund M
27 A. Engwanda M
55 D. Murkin M
21 G. Zechiel M
91 S. Haller F
22 M. Rodriguez F
Bench (10)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
8 C. Bozdogan
9 D. Min
14 Z. Iqbal
15 A. Blake
26 M. Jonathans
40 M. Didden
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
46 J. van Ommeren

Coach: Ron Jans

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
21 R. Kluivert D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
3 N. Tagliafico D
23 T. Morton M
39 M. de Carvalho M
7 A. Karabec M
10 P. Sulc M
11 M. Fofana M
20 M. Satriano F
Bench (10)
50 L. Diarra
62 Y. Konan
6 T. Tessmann
17 A. Moreira
18 R. Ghezzal
29 E. Molebe
32 A. Gomes
41 T. Barisic
44 K. Merah
98 A. Maitland-Niles

Coach: Jorge Miguel Gonçalves Maciel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.