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Coppa Italia
Referee: Ivano Pezzuto
Torino
S T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
22 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 10. · Pisa 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Como 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Milan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Udinese 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Virtus Entella 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Cagliari 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Parma 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Audace Cerignola 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Lecce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Pescara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 -2 3
15 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
16 Spezia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Verona 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Palermo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
24 Empoli 2 0 1 1 -2 1
25 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Bari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
36 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Pisa
1–0 C. Casadei
C. Ngonge
9′
22′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
35′
🟨 Gabriele Piccinini
Saúl Coco 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Toure
↦ Lorran
Ardian Ismajli ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
62′
🟥 Juan Cuadrado
Z. Aboukhlal 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
64′
N. Vlasic 🔁
↦ A. Njie
65′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ C. Adams
65′
68′
🔁 G. Bonfanti
↦ R. Albiol
68′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ H. Meister
68′
🔁 L. Buffon
↦ I. Vural
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ A. Dembele
71′
Zakaria Aboukhlal 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 B. Bettazzi
↦ G. Piccinini
V. Lazaro 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
1 A. Paleari G
21 A. Dembele D
44 A. Ismajli D
23 S. Coco D
16 M. Pedersen M
61 A. Tameze M
22 C. Casadei M
25 N. Nkounkou M
26 C. Ngonge F
92 A. Njie F
19 C. Adams F
Bench (12)
71 M. Popa
81 F. Israel
20 V. Lazaro
34 C. Biraghi
6 E. Ilkhan
10 N. Vlasic
14 F. Anjorin
32 K. Asllani
66 G. Gineitis
7 Z. Aboukhlal
18 G. Simeone
91 D. Zapata

Coach: Marco Baroni

Pisa

3-4-2-1
22 S. Scuffet G
5 S. Canestrelli D
39 R. Albiol D
76 J. Mbambi D
11 J. Cuadrado M
8 M. Hojholt M
21 I. Vural M
3 S. Angori M
99 Lorran F
36 G. Piccinini F
9 H. Meister F
Bench (11)
12 Nicolas Andrade
34 A. Vukovic
43 M. Casarosa
47 Mateus Lusuardi
94 G. Bonfanti
15 I. Toure
41 D. Battistella
42 B. Bettazzi
10 M. Tramoni
16 L. Buffon
46 L. Tosi

Coach: Alberto Gilardino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ivano Pezzuto · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.