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Puchar Polski
3–1
Full-time
Ruch Chorzow
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avia Świdnik Ruch Chorzow
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
5,0
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hutnik Kraków 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Olimpia Grudziądz 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Legnica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wikielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Gryf Słupsk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
22 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Flota Świnoujście 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avia Świdnik Ruch Chorzow
21′
P. Szwedzik 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Kaminski
61′
62′
🔁 F. Lachendro
↦ P. Szwedzik
62′
🔁 P. Ceglarz
↦ J. Sobeczko
W. Kalinowski 🔁
↦ D. Assuncao
67′
A. Popiolek 🔁
↦ S. Kaminski
67′
68′
🟨 D. Ventura
2–1 D. Pisarek
74′
75′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ T. Bala
75′
🔁 S. Nagamatsu
↦ Nono
M. Pigiel 🔁
↦ M. Zuber
77′
P. Malecki 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 S. Szymanski
↦ D. Ventura
K. Orzechowski 🔁
↦ K. Rozmus
81′
3–1 P. Malecki
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Avia Świdnik

12 A. Sobieszczyk
5 R. Dobrzynski
3 R. Kursa
4 K. Rozmus
15 D. Assuncao
17 S. Kaminski
24 P. Uliczny
9 A. Remenyuk
8 M. Zuber
19 P. Malecki
27 D. Pisarek
Bench (9)
31 M. Bialka
2 M. Jarzynka
6 K. Orzechowski
33 M. Pigiel
7 W. Kalinowski
10 D. Zawadzki
97 A. Popiolek
18 W. Marek
99 A. Maj

Coach: Wojciech Szacon

Ruch Chorzow

1 J. Szymanski
15 M. Konczkowski
17 A. Lukic
24 A. Komor
38 S. Karasinski
27 M. Szwoch
25 D. Ventura
14 Nono
21 P. Szwedzik
9 T. Bala
30 J. Sobeczko
Bench (9)
82 J. Bielecki
4 D. Preisler
5 M. Rosol
7 M. Kolar
18 S. Nagamatsu
20 S. Szymanski
28 N. Lesniak-Paduch
29 F. Lachendro
77 P. Ceglarz

Coach: Waldemar Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.