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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Aston Villa
S U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 0,86
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aston Villa Bologna
19′
🟨 Riccardo Orsolini
45′
🟨 Stefan Posch
Half-time 0–0
R. Barkley 🔁
↦ A. Onana
46′
46′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ R. Orsolini
47′
🟨 Charalampos Lykogiannīs
Ross Barkley 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Remo Freuler
1–0 J. McGinn ⚽
55′
2–0 J. Durán ⚽
M. Rogers
64′
J. Philogene 🔁
↦ J. McGinn
65′
J. Ramsey 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
65′
O. Watkins 🔁
↦ J. Durán
65′
66′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ T. Dallinga
66′
🔁 N. Moro
↦ K. Urbański
77′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ D. Ndoye
B. Kamara 🔁
↦ Y. Tielemans
78′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
4 E. Konsa D
3 Diego Carlos D
14 Pau Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
24 A. Onana M
8 Y. Tielemans M
31 L. Bailey M
27 M. Rogers M
7 J. McGinn M
9 J. Durán F
Bench (12)
6 R. Barkley
19 J. Philogene
41 J. Ramsey
11 O. Watkins
44 B. Kamara
10 E. Buendía
20 K. Nedeljković
2 M. Cash
25 R. Olsen
12 L. Digne
26 L. Bogarde
5 T. Mings

Coach: Unai Emery

Bologna

4-3-3
1 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
82 K. Urbański M
8 R. Freuler M
80 G. Fabbian M
7 R. Orsolini F
24 T. Dallinga F
11 D. Ndoye F
Bench (11)
21 J. Odgaard
9 S. Castro
6 N. Moro
14 S. Iling-Junior
2 E. Holm
16 T. Corazza
15 N. Casale
34 F. Ravaglia
18 T. Pobega
33 Juan Miranda
23 N. Bagnolini

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.