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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Norrkoping

T U U U U

0–2

Full-time

Sirius

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

67%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

71%

54%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,63 xG 1,06

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 12. · Sirius 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	25	17	5	3	+40	+22.6	56
2	Djurgarden	25	14	4	7	+10	+2.0	46
3	AIK	25	14	3	8	+2	+2.7	45
4	Hammarby	25	13	5	7	+18	+4.8	44
5	Elfsborg	25	12	5	8	+13	+6.4	41
6	GAIS	25	12	4	9	+2	-4.2	40
7	Mjallby	25	11	6	8	+4	+1.1	39
8	Hacken	25	10	6	9	+2	-5.3	36
9	Sirius	24	10	4	10	+2	+0.9	34
10	Brommapojkarna	25	7	9	9	-6	-1.2	30
11	Goteborg	25	6	9	10	-9	-6.1	27
12	Norrkoping	24	7	6	11	-17	-6.2	27
13	Varnamo	25	6	7	12	-10	-6.4	25
14	Halmstad	25	7	3	15	-17	-5.9	24
15	Kalmar	25	6	4	15	-19	-8.4	22
16	Vasteras SK	25	5	4	16	-15	+3.1	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	11	0	1	+29	+9.9	33
2	Elfsborg	13	8	3	2	+17	+4.9	27
3	GAIS	13	8	3	2	+10	+0.3	27
4	AIK	12	8	1	3	+11	+4.7	25
5	Mjallby	12	7	4	1	+10	+2.7	25
6	Hammarby	12	7	3	2	+13	+3.5	24
7	Hacken	13	6	3	4	+8	-0.6	21
8	Djurgarden	12	6	3	3	+3	-0.4	21
9	Sirius	12	5	2	5	+5	+4.3	17
10	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	+2	-0.0	17
11	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
12	Goteborg	13	3	5	5	-5	-4.3	14
13	Brommapojkarna	12	3	5	4	-7	-0.1	14
14	Vasteras SK	13	3	2	8	-7	+4.0	11
15	Kalmar	13	3	2	8	-8	-2.4	11
16	Varnamo	13	2	3	8	-12	-1.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	13	8	1	4	+7	+2.3	25
2	Malmo FF	13	6	5	2	+11	+12.7	23
3	Hammarby	13	6	2	5	+5	+1.3	20
4	AIK	13	6	2	5	-9	-2.0	20
5	Sirius	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.3	17
6	Varnamo	12	4	4	4	+2	-4.5	16
7	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	+1	-1.1	16
8	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-6	-4.7	15
9	Elfsborg	12	4	2	6	-4	+1.4	14
10	Mjallby	13	4	2	7	-6	-1.6	14
11	Goteborg	12	3	4	5	-4	-1.8	13
12	GAIS	12	4	1	7	-8	-4.5	13
13	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-11	-5.9	11
14	Norrkoping	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.7	11
15	Vasteras SK	12	2	2	8	-8	-0.9	8
16	Halmstad	12	2	1	9	-19	-5.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.