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Champions League
Referee: D Rumsas
Kairat Almaty
T U T T T
1–4
Full-time
Club Brugge
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 14/10 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
36%
90%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
2,1
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,28 xG 2,54
47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Kairat Almaty Club Brugge
32′
⚽ A. Stankovic 0–1
38′
⚽ H. Vanaken 0–2
J. Seys
Half-time 0–2
64′
🔁 C. Sandra
↦ H. Vetlesen
74′
⚽ R. Vermant 0–3
M. Diakhon
A. Sadybekov 🔁
↦ D. Glazer
76′
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Jorginho
76′
M. Birkurmanov 🔁
↦ Edmilson
76′
78′
🔁 B. Meijer
↦ J. Seys
78′
🔁 S. Campbell
↦ C. Forbs
78′
🔁 N. Tresoldi
↦ R. Vermant
Egor Sorokin 🟨
80′
J. Stanojev 🔁
↦ E. Tapalov
80′
M. Abish 🔁
↦ D. Kasabulat
80′
84′
⚽ B. Mechele 0–4
H. Vanaken
85′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ K. Sabbe
1–4 A. Sadybekov ⚽
A. Mrynskiy
90′
Adilet Sadybekov 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
77 T. Anarbekov G
20 E. Tapalov D
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
18 D. Glazer M
4 D. Kasabulat M
24 A. Mrynskiy M
7 Jorginho M
55 V. Gromyko M
26 Edmilson F
Bench (10)
82 S. Kalmurza
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
6 A. Sadybekov
89 R. Bagdat
99 Ricardinho
41 D. Buch
47 A. Bazarbaev
42 M. Abish
79 M. Birkurmanov

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Club Brugge

3-4-2-1
29 N. Jackers G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
9 C. Forbs M
25 A. Stankovic M
20 H. Vanaken M
65 J. Seys M
10 H. Vetlesen F
67 M. Diakhon F
17 R. Vermant F
Bench (9)
22 S. Mignolet
81 A. Vanden Driessche
14 B. Meijer
24 V. Osuji
41 H. Siquet
6 L. Reis
11 C. Sandra
84 S. Campbell
7 N. Tresoldi

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumsas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.