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Champions League
Referee: S Jablonski
Club Brugge
U S T T S
0–3
Full-time
Arsenal
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 78%
56%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
89%
60%
Both score Ø 38%
56%
20%
Average goals
4,1
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+2,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,10 xG 2,99
49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 11
5 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 7
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Arsenal
25′
⚽ N. Madueke 0–1
Half-time 0–2
47′
⚽ N. Madueke 0–2
M. Zubimendi
56′
⚽ G. Martinelli 0–3
62′
🔁 Gabriel Jesus
↦ V. Gyökeres
63′
🔁 R. Calafiori
↦ P. Hincapie
65′
🟨 Christian Nørgaard
B. Meijer 🔁
↦ H. Siquet
67′
K. Furo 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
67′
68′
🟨 Ben White
71′
🔁 B. Saka
↦ N. Madueke
72′
🔁 E. Nwaneri
↦ M. Odegaard
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ R. Onyedika
74′
K. Sabbe 🔁
↦ J. Seys
74′
M. Diakhon 🔁
↦ C. Forbs
83′
83′
🔁 M. Salmon
↦ B. White
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
16 D. van den Heuvel G
41 H. Siquet D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
15 R. Onyedika M
9 C. Forbs M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (11)
71 A. De Corte
2 Z. Romero
10 H. Vetlesen
11 C. Sandra
14 B. Meijer
19 G. Nilsson
58 J. Spileers
64 K. Sabbe
67 M. Diakhon
84 S. Campbell
87 K. Furo

Coach: Ivan Leko

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 D. Raya G
4 B. White D
16 C. Norgaard D
5 P. Hincapie D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
8 M. Odegaard M
36 M. Zubimendi M
23 M. Merino M
20 N. Madueke F
14 V. Gyökeres F
11 G. Martinelli F
Bench (10)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
35 T. Setford
7 B. Saka
9 Gabriel Jesus
10 E. Eze
22 E. Nwaneri
33 R. Calafiori
38 L. Copley
48 J. Nichols
89 M. Salmon

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.