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Champions League
Referee: J Martinez
Kairat Almaty
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 13/5 matches
Win Ø 12%
23%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
38%
40%
Both score Ø 46%
31%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,20 xG 2,28
47% Possession 53%
5 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Kairat Almaty Olympiakos
14′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
35′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
Half-time 0–0
Jorginho 🔁
↦ Ricardinho
46′
V. Gromyko 🔁
↦ G. Zaria
46′
A. Tuyakbaev 🔁
↦ E. Tapalov
62′
62′
🔁 G. Strefezza
↦ D. Podence
62′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ Chiquinho
Azamat Tuyakbayev 🟨
70′
73′
⚽ G. Martins 0–1
M. Taremi
D. Kasabulat 🔁
↦ O. Baybek
82′
J. Stanojev 🔁
↦ Edmilson
82′
84′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ S. Hezze
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
77 T. Anarbekov G
20 E. Tapalov D
25 A. Shirobokov D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
18 D. Glazer M
17 O. Baybek M
24 A. Mrynskiy M
99 Ricardinho M
10 G. Zaria M
26 Edmilson F
Bench (10)
41 D. Buch
82 S. Kalmurza
4 D. Kasabulat
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
7 Jorginho
14 A. Martynovich
33 J. Stanojev
55 V. Gromyko
87 A. Tuyakbaev

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
4 G. Biancone D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 G. Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
61 G. Kouraklis
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
11 R. Yaremchuk
14 D. Garcia
16 L. Scipioni
20 Costinha
27 G. Strefezza
70 B. Onyemaechi
80 S. Pnevmonidis
99 M. Taremi

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Martinez · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.